BetDash NFL picks – week 11

BetDash NFL tipster Mac takes a look at the week eleven Gridiron action, focusing on four games in particular.

NFL Week 11

God bless those NFL meltdowns when they come along. Are you enjoying the Jets current explosive self-destruction job? Imagine for a second if a Premiership team spent an entire week bad-mouthing one of their own strikers. Imagine Chelsea players were quoted all week long saying ‘Torres is class and Sturridge is porridge!’. We just don’t get that kind of locker room cat-fighting drama over here on the other side of the Atlantic. If it does exist, it isn’t publicized as much by the media. ESPN, CNNSI, Yahoo sports and the daily New York rags are having a super fun time with this Jets implosion. Basically, the entire locker-room has come out in support of Mark Sanchez while throwing verbal mud-bombs at the backup, little Timmy Tebow. It is a slaughter, a carpet bombing campaign of vitriolic assault.

Of course, any fool who has backed (or indeed tipped) the Jets in the last few weeks is sitting there nodding knowingly, muttering angrily under their breath, ‘The Jets are dysfunctional?! Tell me something I didn’t know!’ The lesson as always is, when picking you NFL games, try and stay away from the train-wreck teams. Whilst the Jets are the absolute poster-child for train-wreck NFL teams, they are not alone. The Raiders, The Bengals and the Eagles would also stand out! Essentially, when making your NFL picks, it is like a guy who has a choice between going out on a date with a nice, totally normal woman, or a hot but edgy and potentially completely deranged woman. Choose normal!! The Jets may look sexy, but they are deranged, and you will get a call at 4:30 am asking what you are up to, and if you are into ‘Twilight’ much.

Clever things we said last week
‘’(The Colts) should have more than enough to see off this brutal Jaguars team’’

Not so clever things we said last week
‘’ The Panthers are not done yet’’
‘’ Two teams going in opposite directions here, the Vikings have been derailed by injuries whilst the Lions are roaring on all cylinders,’’
‘’ You think the Bears are going to let up the momentum the week one of the most famous Chicagoans took the White House for another four years?’’

Can’t quite burst past this damned .500, half and half, 50\50, 50% deadlock. Actually, the cynics amongst you, and in gambling there are many, would point out that we’re at 49.6%, not quite 50!! Last week was pretty insane, in fairness. Honestly, who could have thought Tennessee would have gone into Miami and bashed them around? Who honestly had The Bungles beating the Giants? Probably most surreal of all was Kansas taking the Steelers to overtime. What the what?! Anyway, we live and we learn. We are still in sight of our season target of 60%, and still gunning higher. Plus, very few of us are Jets fans, so, we have that going for us. Good luck to all, and enjoy the games.

Season to date
Last week against the spread: 7-7
Overall record against the spread: 71-72-3
Finest Four against the spread last week: 1-3
Finest Four against the spread overall: 20-20
Winning percentage: 49.6%
The finest four percentage: 50%

The finest four.
Four picks to boost your bankroll

The Game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers At Carolina Panthers
Current line: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1.5
The Science: The Buccaneers can’t get no respect. They are on fire right now, on both sides of the ball. They represent a clear choice, a clear vote for clarity and consistency in this matchup. Can you honestly say what you are going to get from the Panthers? No! You can’t! The Buccaneers have won 4 of their last 5 and 3 in a row. What do you do with a hot streak? You ride it!
The Pick: Tampa -1.5

The Game: New Orleans Saints At Oakland Raiders
Current line: New Orleans Saints -4.5
The Science: The Saints are on a roll and a mission. They have quite a few factors going for them this week. That chip on their shoulder isn’t getting any smaller, they are riding a nice wave of momentum, and they just beat the only unbeaten team in the NFL. Oh, plus, they are playing Oakland.
The Pick: New Orleans -4.5

The Game: Jacksonville Jaguars At Houston Texans
Current line: Houston Texans -15
The Science: Historically Vegas waits to December to start throwing out lines of -20 and above. You see it annually, as it gets closer to Christmas, Vegas starts handicapping with lines of 20 or more, trying to take on the big teams. The reason is pretty obvious, as the minnows, the dysfunctional and the downright pathetic start to think about the offseason, the best teams are reaching peak, and you start to see some pretty lopsided scores. Vegas protects itself by erecting barriers like -21.5 or even -23.5 when they are really terrified. Expect this to be the last time we get offered a game like this for less than -20.
The Pick: Houston -15

The Game: New York Jets At St. Louis Rams
Current line: St. Louis Rams -3.5
The Science: The Rams are starting to gather some attention, the good sort of attention, not the kind of toxic, septic attention the Jets are getting. They still have plenty of work to do, but Coach Fisher is moulding them into a decent defensive side at the very least. They have quality results against Seattle, Arizona and San Francisco, which hints that they should be able to handle the pathetic Jets no problem. The Jets, meanwhile, have scored 16 points combined their last two games. Mark Sanchez makes Ryan Leaf look like Tom Brady. Take the Rams at home and do so with confidence.
The Pick: St. Louis -3.5

The rest.
Definitely. Probably. Maybe.

Miami Dolphins +2.5 At Buffalo Bills
Arizona Cardinals At Atlanta Falcons -9.5
Green Bay Packers At Detroit Lions +3.5
Philadelphia Eagles At Washington Redskins -3.5
Cincinnati Bengals -3 At Kansas City Chiefs
Cleveland Browns At Dallas Cowboys -7.5
San Diego Chargers +7.5 At Denver Broncos
Indianapolis Colts At New England Patriots -9
Baltimore Ravens -3 At Pittsburgh Steelers